https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-yieldcurve-explainer-idUSKBN1O50GA
Any body have any other sources?
Do you think it will be wrong or are we going back into a recession or worse this time?
"This week, the yield curve showed evidence of inverting for the first time in more than a decade when the yield on 5-year notes dropped below those for 2-year and 3-year securities.
The rest of the curve still has an upward slope, although the curve overall has been flattening for some time."
"Yield curve inversion is a classic signal that a recession is coming.
The U.S. curve has inverted before each recession in the past 50 years. It offered a false signal just once in that time."