Suppressor purchase now or wait?

[ReservoirDawg10]

It would stand to reason that none are actually working on scaling up production to meet any expected increase in demand like most businesses do due to the uncertainty of the NFA. Many manufacturers are already experiencing higher demand with certain models than production allows, so by your logic, the prices for those cans should be about double what they are, right?

They certainly are not being discounted. SOME incentives are out there to keep revenue coming in the door over the next 6 months, but you'll note that those incentives are not on popular cans.

Your line of reasoning if off here. Manufacturers likely will not RAISE their prices. Some dealers may. That is their call. Don't use em if you don't like how they price stuff. Pretty easy there. The long-term play, if the legislation holds, is that prices will drop due to more demand. And likely due to more entrants on the manufacturing side. People will get what they want up-front, then more cans will become more common place.

Look at the AR market. With legislation and limited suplpy in the early 2000's, AR's were more expensive and fewer options existed. Then more and more manufacturers started making em. They became commonplace in homes. Now, unless you deeply discount an AR, or have something highly sought after, good luck selling em because there are so many options out there. On a smaller scale, I expect cans to take a similar trajectory.

 

[GeauxLSU]

I refuse to believe $200 was stopping anybody from buying a suppressor.

 

[spencer60]

I'm thinking that the idea of not having the $200 tax leading to a massive demand surge is pretty flawed.

I've asked half a dozen different gun-owning friends if they would buy an NFA item (typically suppressor) once the tax is gone, and the unanimous answer was 'no'.

These are people who hadn't gone through the process already, and to them the hassle was a much bigger factor than the cost.

A few did say they would be interested in a can if they were just 'regular' firearms, that could be purchased off a 4473. The main reason given there was hunting.

These were all fairly sophisticated gun owners, up on the news and who already owned multiple firearms in different calibers. Pretty typical of the bulk of firearm owners I'd guess.

I'm guessing that whatever 'surge' in demand we see after Jan. 1st will dissipate pretty quickly and volume will drop right back to where it was until one of the pending lawsuits takes them out of the NFA altogether. Then you will see a real surge.

 

[ReservoirDawg10]

I refuse to believe $200 was stopping anybody from buying a suppressor.

It has been said constantly all over.

 

[BigMike]

It would stand to reason that none are actually working on scaling up production to meet any expected increase in demand like most businesses do due to the uncertainty of the NFA. Many manufacturers are already experiencing higher demand with certain models than production allows, so by your logic, the prices for those cans should be about double what they are, right?

I have a mercury dime that says the popular suppressors will either go up in price or experience 9+ months wait time to get one.

 

[GeauxLSU]

I'm thinking that the idea of not having the $200 tax leading to a massive demand surge is pretty flawed.

I've asked half a dozen different gun-owning friends if they would buy an NFA item (typically suppressor) once the tax is gone, and the unanimous answer was 'no'.

These are people who hadn't gone through the process already, and to them the hassle was a much bigger factor than the cost.

A few did say they would be interested in a can if they were just 'regular' firearms, that could be purchased off a 4473. The main reason given there was hunting.

These were all fairly sophisticated gun owners, up on the news and who already owned multiple firearms in different calibers. Pretty typical of the bulk of firearm owners I'd guess.

I'm guessing that whatever 'surge' in demand we see after Jan. 1st will dissipate pretty quickly and volume will drop right back to where it was until one of the pending lawsuits takes them out of the NFA altogether. Then you will see a real surge.

Exactly

 

[GeauxLSU]

It has been said constantly all over.

A lot of things are said. If $200 was the thing keeping anyone from buying a suppressor, they need some serious financial discipline and advice.

 

[ReservoirDawg10]

A lot of things are said. If $200 was the thing keeping anyone from buying a suppressor, they need some serious financial discipline and advice.

Not wrong. But just look at odt on the daily....

 

[ReservoirDawg10]

I'm thinking that the idea of not having the $200 tax leading to a massive demand surge is pretty flawed.

I've asked half a dozen different gun-owning friends if they would buy an NFA item (typically suppressor) once the tax is gone, and the unanimous answer was 'no'.

These are people who hadn't gone through the process already, and to them the hassle was a much bigger factor than the cost.

A few did say they would be interested in a can if they were just 'regular' firearms, that could be purchased off a 4473. The main reason given there was hunting.

These were all fairly sophisticated gun owners, up on the news and who already owned multiple firearms in different calibers. Pretty typical of the bulk of firearm owners I'd guess.

I'm guessing that whatever 'surge' in demand we see after Jan. 1st will dissipate pretty quickly and volume will drop right back to where it was until one of the pending lawsuits takes them out of the NFA altogether. Then you will see a real surge.

I hope that you are correct, but my friend group is the exact opposite

 

[BigMike]

I hope that you are correct, but my friend group is the exact opposite

Won't spur me on to buy one. Will spur me on to sell a few more, and maybe put all my nfa stuff into a trust.