Appraiser, huh? Back when I used to finance commercial real estate projects, the joke was that MAI stands for Made As Instructed.
Anyway, you're not completely wrong and in many ways I agree with you, just don't have your level of confidence. Posted this few weeks ago in a Politics & Hot Topics thread.
Yes, the conventional wisdom would lead you to believe that if rates go from 3% to 6%, resulting in a 40%* increase in the 30-yr mortgage payment, you'd expect a substantial drop in home prices since most buy based on a monthly payment but we're not seeing this or even anything remotely close to this.
Between builders buying down the rate for several years and current homeowners staying put, courtesy of golden handcuffs of their current low rate mortgage, the prices have barely budged so far. Labor and building materials inflation is also helping to sustain the prices of existing homes.
*With rates north of 7%, it's more of a 60% increase so we'll start seeing weakening in more markets.
For my personal investments, I do a fair bit of real estate investing via a crowdfunding platform and have to look at loans in 30+ markets. There's no collapse but in most markets the growth is over and some are seeing slight declines.
Anyway, you're not completely wrong and in many ways I agree with you, just don't have your level of confidence. Posted this few weeks ago in a Politics & Hot Topics thread.
Yes, the conventional wisdom would lead you to believe that if rates go from 3% to 6%, resulting in a 40%* increase in the 30-yr mortgage payment, you'd expect a substantial drop in home prices since most buy based on a monthly payment but we're not seeing this or even anything remotely close to this.
Between builders buying down the rate for several years and current homeowners staying put, courtesy of golden handcuffs of their current low rate mortgage, the prices have barely budged so far. Labor and building materials inflation is also helping to sustain the prices of existing homes.
*With rates north of 7%, it's more of a 60% increase so we'll start seeing weakening in more markets.
For my personal investments, I do a fair bit of real estate investing via a crowdfunding platform and have to look at loans in 30+ markets. There's no collapse but in most markets the growth is over and some are seeing slight declines.